PMAPS 2016
2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems
Oct. 16-20, 2016    Beijing, China
Session
This page will be modified. If anyone has question, please contact with program chair professor Xie.
Email: pmaps2016review@163.com

Conference Program Manual is available. you can download it from here.

Plenary Session

The first speech: Research Challenges of the Future Electric Power System

Date: Monday October 17, 2016

Time: 09:00-09:45AM

Room: Building 7 Meeting Room 1&2

Speaker: Professor Göran Andersson

Abstract:

During its more than 100 years of existence, the electric power system has been faced with various challenges, which had to be overcome to shape the system as we know it today. Due to an effective cooperation between the power industry and universities and other research institutions, we have today in many parts of the world a system that provides its users with high quality and reliable power at affordable prices. The list of technical, economical, and regulatory issues that have been solved is virtually endless and the continuous and close teamwork between different stakeholders has been essential in this success story. In order to tackle the future challenges it is of utmost importance that this cooperation be continued and be more interactive so that the research community can play a pivotal role in this important task.

 

This lecture will first give a brief historical overview of how research results have had a significant influence on the development of the electric power system. Second, the most salient challenges, according to the author, the power system is faced with will be discussed. Examples that will be presented are handling of uncertainties and risks, data management, interaction with other energy systems, consumer behavior, various implications of technical changes, and cyber security. Many of these challenges would require new approaches, system designs and controls, system and component models, or new analytical and computational techniques to be effectively resolved.

 

Further, a model for the cooperation and interaction between industry and research institutions will be sketched. Even if the overall goal of all the stakeholders is the same, they have different roles to play and this must acknowledged in the set-up of the cooperative projects.

 

Göran Andersson obtained his M.S. (1975) and Ph.D. (1980) degrees from the University of Lund, Sweden. In 1980 he joined ASEA’s, now ABB’s, HVDC division in Ludvika, Sweden, and in 1986 he was appointed full professor in electric power systems at KTH (Royal Institute of Technology), Stockholm, Sweden. Since 2000 he is full professor in electric power systems at ETH Zürich (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology). His research interests include power system dynamics, control and operation, power markets, and future energy systems.

 

Göran Andersson is Fellow of IEEE, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences, the Swiss Academy of Engineering Sciences, and foreign member of the US National Academy of Engineering. He was the recipient of the 2007 IEEE PES Outstanding Power Educator Award, the 2010 George Montefiore International Award 2010, and the 2016 IEEE PES Prabha S. Kundur Power System Dynamics and Control Award.

 

The second speech: Energy Transition and Power System Evolution in China

Date: Monday October 17, 2016

Time: 10:15-11:00AM

Room: Building 7 Meeting Room 1&2

Speaker: Professor Xiaoxin Zhou

Abstract:

The goal of China's energy transition is to build a clean, low-carbon, safe, efficient and sustainable modern energy system by the years 2030-2050. To achieve the goals of energy transition, wind and solar power need to be highly exploited and integrated into power systems. Based on the background of energy transition, the power system in China will take two characteristics as major evolution trends: power systems with high penetration of renewable sources; power systems with high proportion of power electronic equipment.

 

The smart integrated energy system is an extension of smart grid, which is a new evolution trend for traditional power systems. New materials and new technologies will bring the possibility of subversive change of the power system.

 

In the process of the power system evolutions, new theories and technologies are needed to address the challenges of power system operation and control.

 

Professor Xiaoxin Zhou graduated from the Electrical Engineering Department, Tsinghua University in 1965. Currently he is an Honorary President of China Electric Power Research Institute. He was elected a member of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in 1993 and IEEE Fellow in 1995, respectively. He is a member of Standing Committee of Chinese Society for Electrical Engineers (CSEE) and the Chief Editor of “CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems”.

 

The third speech: Co-optimized Expansion Planning Applications and Uncertainty

Date: Monday October 17, 2016

Time: 11:00-11:45AM

Room: Building 7 Meeting Room 1&2

Speaker: Professor James McCalley

Abstract:

Generation expansion planning (GEP) applications have been in commercial use for many years. Transmission expansion planning (TEP) applications are a more recent development, but many research-grade versions are available. Co-optimization expansion planning (CEP) applications have only recently been developed; these select transmission and generation investments simultaneously, within a single optimization. Results indicate when, where, which technology, and how much capacity to invest. CEP applications have become of very high interest over the past 10 years as a result of dramatic changes that high renewable penetration has imposed on electric power grids. In this talk, we will describe recent CEP developments and extensions, and we will illustrate results of their use, including extension to coordinate transmission and generation investments with distributed resources at the distribution level. We will also describe more general CEP application to other infrastructures including electric and gas pipeline systems and to electric, fuel, and freight/passenger transportation systems. We will conclude this talk by describing methods of CEP formulations which handle uncertainty.

 

James D. McCalley received the B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. degrees from Georgia Tech in 1982, 1986, and 1992, respectively. He is an Anson Marston Distinguished Professor and the London Professor of Power Systems Engineering in the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering at Iowa State University (ISU) where he has been employed since 1992. He was elected as an IEEE Fellow in 2003.

 

He was employed with the Atlanta Gas Light-Company from 1977-1982 and with Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), San Francisco, from 1985 to 1990. At PG&E, Dr. McCalley was a transmission engineer where he performed planning, design, and operating studies of the Western US interconnected power grid. He was a registered professional engineer in California.



PANEL AND INVITED PAPER SESSIONS

Panel and Invited Paper Session: P&IS 1

Monday October 17, 2016, 14:00-16:00PM

Session 1

Probabilistic methods and tools in power systems

Monday Oct. 17, 14:00-16:00PM

Chair

Roy Billinton, University of Saskatchewan, Canada

Building 7 Meeting Room 1

Session

Time

Title

Panelist

Affiliation

P&IS 1.1

14:00-14:30

Optimization and Decision Making for Planning and Operation of Smart Integrated Energy Systems

Qinghua Wu

South China University of Technology, China

P&IS 1.2

14:30-15:00

Energy Storage Consideration in Power System Reliability Evaluation

Rajesh Karki

University of Saskatchewan, Canada

P&IS 1.3

15:00-15:30

Asset Management of Smart Power Systems

Lina Bertling Tjernberg

Royal Institute of Technology - KTH, Sweden

P&IS 1.4

15:30-16:00

Risk Assessment of Smart Grids Considering Flexible Demand Resources

Yi Ding

Zhejiang University, China

 

Panel and Invited Paper Session: P&IS 2

Monday October 17, 2016, 14:00-16:00PM

Session 2

Probabilistic applications in utilities

Monday Oct. 17, 14:00-16:00PM

Chair

Armando Leite da Silva, Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Building 7 Meeting Room 2

Session

Time

Title

Panelist

Affiliation

P&IS 2.1

14:00-14:30

Probabilistic Applications in Utilities with Specific Focus on the Western US

Milorad Papic

Idaho Power, USA

P&IS 2.2

14:30-15:00

Probabilistic Methods for Uncertainty Issues in Power System Operation

Jizhong Zhu

China Southern Power Grid, China

P&IS 2.3

15:00-15:30

Capacity Value of Solar Power

Chris J Dent

University of Edinburgh, UK

P&IS 2.4

15:30-16:00

Risk Pruning under Islanding Conditions Using Wind-Hydro Generation Coordination

Wijarn Wangdee

King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok (KMUTNB), Thailand

 

Panel and Invited Paper Session: P&IS 3

Monday October 17, 2016, 16:20-17:50PM

Session 3

Cyber-physical risk of power systems

Monday Oct. 17, 16:20-17:50PM

Chair

Qinghua Wu, South China University of Technology, China

Building 7 Meeting Room 1

Session

Time

Title

Panelist

Affiliation

P&IS 3.1

16:20-16:50

Developing a Benchmark Test System for Electric Power Grid Cyber-Physical Reliability Studies

Chanan Singh

Texas A&M University, USA

P&IS 3.2

16:50-17:20

A UHV Grid Security and Stability Defense System Considering the Risk of Communication System

Ming Ni

NARI Group Corporation, China

P&IS 3.3

17:20-17:50

Advanced System Restoration Planning and Its Implication to Cyber-physical Resilience of Next Generation Power Grid

John N. Jiang

The University of Oklahoma, USA

 

Panel and Invited Paper Session: P&IS 4

Monday October 17, 2016, 16:20-17:50PM

Session 4

Big data applications in power systems

Monday Oct. 17, 16:20-17:50PM

Chair

James McCalley, Iowa State University, USA

Building 7 Meeting Room 2

Session

Time

Title

Panelist

Affiliation

P&IS 4.1

16:20-16:50

Comparing Two Model Selection Frameworks for Probabilistic Load Forecasting

Tao Hong

University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA

P&IS 4.2

16:50-17:20

Big Data Analytics in Large Scale Power System Economic Planning

Yingzhong Gu

General Electric, USA

P&IS 4.3

17:20-17:50

Probabilistic Modeling of Renewable Energy Based On Spark Platform

Juan Yu

Chongqing University, China

REGULAR PAPER SESSIONS

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 1 - RPS 6

Tuesday October 18, 2016, 08:30-10:10AM

Session 1

Forecast techniques in power systems

Tuesday Oct. 18, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Jizhong Zhu, China Southern Power Grid, China

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

1.1

41

08:30-08:50

Enhanced Computation of Ultra-Short-Term Prediction Intervals of PV AC Active Power

Enrica Scolari, Dimitri Torregrossa, Jean-Yves Le Boudec, Mario Paolone

RPS

1.2

64

08:50-09:10

Approximate Active Power Distributions for Standard Household Loads

Robert Brandalik, Dominik Waeresch, Wolfram H. Wellssow

RPS

1.3

258

09:10-09:30

Prediction of Availability and Charging Rate at Charging Stations for Electric Vehicles

Can Bikcora, Nazir Refa, Lennart Verheijen, Siep Weiland

RPS

1.4

267

09:30-09:50

Prediction of Current in a Substation in order to Schedule Thermography

Per Westerlund, Patrik Hilber, Tommie Lindquist

RPS

1.5

278

09:50-10:10

A Stochastic Optimal Model of Micro Energy Internet Contains Rooftop PV and CCHP System

Lin Cheng, Chen Liu, Qiang Wu, Song Gao

 

Session 2

Cascading failures in power systems

Tuesday Oct. 18, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Xuemin Zhang, Tsinghua University, China

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

2.1

49

08:30-08:50

Comparing a Transmission Planning Study of Cascading with Historical Line Outage Data

Milorad Papic, Ian Dobson

RPS

2.2

70

08:50-09:10

Analysis of Cascading Failure Considering Load-shedding Strategy and Failure Correlation

Dajun Si, Qiming Sun, Libao Shi, Yingchun Qian, Wen Qian

RPS

2.3

199

09:10-09:30

Review on Power System Cascading Failure Theories and Studies

Xiaohui Ye, Wuzhi Zhong, Xinli Song, Guoyang Wu, Tao Liu, Zhida Su

RPS

2.4

254

09:30-09:50

Identification of Critical Line-Generation Combinations for Hypothesized Joint Line-Generation Attacks

Ming Wang, Yingmeng Xiang, Lingfeng Wang, Jie Jiang, Ruosong Xiao, Kaigui Xie

RPS

2.5

255

09:50-10:10

A Resilient Power System Operation Strategy Considering Presumed Attacks

Yingmeng Xiang, Lingfeng Wang, Nian Liu, Ruosong Xiao, Kaigui Xie

 

Session 3

Stochastic optimization and simulation(1)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Bagen Bagen, Manitoba Hydro, Canada

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

3.1

53

08:30-08:50

Stochastic Day-Ahead Generation Scheduling with Pumped-Storage Stations and Wind Power Integrated

J. H. Zheng, X. Y. Quan, Z. X. Jing, Q. H. Wu

RPS

3.2

80

08:50-09:10

Valuation of Stored Energy in Dynamic Optimal Power Flow of Distribution Systems with Energy Storage

Iver Bakken Sperstad, Arild Helseth, Magnus Korpås

RPS

3.3

121

09:10-09:30

A Novel Method for Energy Storage Sizing Based on Time and Frequency Domain Analysis

Liting Tian, Jianbo Guo, Lin Cheng

RPS

3.4

198

09:30-09:50

Online Security Assessment with Load and Renewable Generation Uncertainty: the iTesla Project Approach

Maria Helena Vasconcelos, Leonel Carvalho, José Meirinhos, N. Omont, P. Gambier-Morel, G. Jamgotchian, D. Cirio, E. Ciapessoni, A. Pitto, I. Konstantelos, G. Strbac, M. Ferraro, C. Biasuzzi

RPS

3.5

250

09:50-10:10

A Dynamic Programming-Based Heuristic Approach for Optimal Transmission Switching Problem With N-1 Reliability Criterion

Farzaneh Pourahmadi, Mohammad Jooshaki, Seyed Hamid Hosseini

 

Session 4

Stability of power systems

Tuesday Oct. 18, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

4.1

16

08:30-08:50

Literature Review of Power System Stochastic Stability

Hao Jiang, Hui Liu, Linlin Wu, Haixiang Xu

RPS

4.2

29

08:50-09:10

Stochastic Small Disturbance Stability Analysis of Multi-machine System Based on Energy Function

Rui Wang, Jie Wang, Xiao Mi

RPS

4.3

45

09:10-09:30

Solutions to Probabilistic Analysis of Voltage Stability in Power Systems with Wind Farms Using Advanced Unscented Transformation

Haibo Bao, Hua Wei, Xiaoxuan Guo

RPS

4.4

164

09:30-09:50

Quasi Hamilton System Stochastic Averaging and EEAC Combined Transient Stability Analysis Method

Haiqiang Zhou, Jizhu Guo, Ping Ju

RPS

4.5

192

09:50-10:10

The Stability Analysis and New Torque Control Strategy of Direct-Driven PMSG Wind Turbines

Jun Lin, Feihang Zhou, Guangyi Wang

Session 5

Power system operations

Tuesday Oct. 18, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Yi Ding, Zhejiang University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

5.1

40

08:30-08:50

Spinning Reserve Assessment via Quasi-Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation with Renewable Sources

Armando Leite da Silva, Jose Filho da Costa Castro, Reinaldo Gonzalez-Fernandez

RPS

5.2

75

08:50-09:10

On Improving Data/Models on Corrective Control Failures for Use in Probabilistic Reliability Management

Vijay Venu Vadlamudi, Camille Hamon, Oddbjørn Gjerde, Samuel Perkin, Gerd Kjølle, Samuel Perkin

RPS

5.3

78

09:10-09:30

Impact of Increased Uncertainty in Power Systems on Performance of Short Term Reliability Management

Evelyn Heylen, Geert Deconinck, Dirk Van Hertem

RPS

5.4

237

09:30-09:50

Application of Voltage Sensitivity Analysis in a Probabilistic Context for Characterizing Low Voltage Network Operation

Vasiliki Klonari, Bashir Bakhshideh Zad, Jacques Lobry, François Vallee

RPS

5.5

256

09:50-10:10

Using VaR and CVaR Techniques to calculate the Long-term Operational Reserve

Leonardo Bremermann, Mauro Rosa, Leonel Carvalho, Pablo Galvis, Caio Nakasone, Fernando Santos

 

Session 6

Power system optimization

Tuesday Oct. 18, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Jaeseok Choi, Geongsang National University, South Korea

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 4

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

6.1

214

08:30-08:50

Impact of Network Topology Optimization on Power System Reliability

Yingmeng Xiang, Lingfeng Wang, Ruosong Xiao, Kaigui Xie

RPS

6.2

166

08:50-09:10

DATP-based Sequential Optimization and Reliability Assessment for RBDO

Chen Jiang, Haobo Qiu, Xiaoke Li, Ning Ma, Liang Gao, Xiwen Cai

RPS

6.3

179

09:10-09:30

Reliability and Efficiency-based Energy Storage Sizing From the Aspect of System Frequency

Chen Liang, Peng Wang, Xiaoqing Han, Wenping Qin, Yanbing Jia

RPS

6.4

137

09:30-09:50

Applying High Performance Computing to Probabilistic Convex Optimal Power Flow

Zhao Yuan, Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh, Yue Cui, Lina Bertling Tjernberg

RPS

6.5

239

09:50-10:10

Reactive Power Adequacy Assessment of Composite Power System Based on Interior Point Method and Genetic Algorithm

Fan Chen, Haitao Liu, Jun Li, Zheng Huang

 

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 7 - RPS 12

Tuesday October 18, 2016, 10:30-11:50AM

Session 7

Identification analysis

Tuesday Oct. 18, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Göran Andersson, ETHZ, Switzerland

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

7.1

20

10:30-10:50

Determining A Critical Contingency Set Using Probabilistic Performance Indexes

Jun Zhong, Hailei He, Bo Hu, Qinyong Zhou, Wenyuan Li

RPS

7.2

130

10:50-11:10

Reliability Evaluation Based on Equivalent Method of Sensitivity Consistency and Component Particularity Representation

Shicong Deng, Bin Zhang, Juan Yu, Wei Lin, Wenyuan Li, Xuan Liu

RPS

7.3

150

11:10-11:30

Probabilistic-Based Identification of Coherent Generators

Oscar Gomez, George Anders, Carlos Zapata

RPS

7.4

189

11:30-11:50

Overhead Line Weak Point Mechanical Analysis Based on Markov Chain Method.

Anna Mutule, Ervin Grebesh, Irina Oleinikova, Artjoms Obushevs

 

Session 8

Probabilistic assessment in power market

Tuesday Oct. 18, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Alfredo Testa, The Second University of Naples, Italy

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

8.1

47

10:30-10:50

Population Dynamics for Renewables in Electricity Markets: A Minority Game View

Athanasios Papakonstantinou, Pierre Pinson

RPS

8.2

190

10:50-11:10

Long-Term Spanish Electricity Market Price Forecasting with Cointegration and VEC Models

Rodrigo A. de Marcos, Javier Reneses, Antonio Bello

RPS

8.3

191

11:10-11:30

An Agent Based Model of a Frequency Activated Electricity Reserve Market

Markus Löschenbrand, Magnus Korpås

RPS

8.4

245

11:30-11:50

Risk-Based Penalty Price Determination Procedure for Transmission Constraint Relaxations

Ahmed Salloum, Yousef Al-Abdullah, Kory Hedman, Vijay Vittal

 

Session 9

Stochastic optimization and simulation(2)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Lina Bertling Tjernberg, KTH, Sweden

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

9.1

140

10:30-10:50

Spectrum Analysis Method of Residual Current Based on Hilbert-Huang Transform

Jinli Wang, Yongmei Liu, Li Wang, Songhuai Du, Juan Su, Yating Cai, Tingting Fan, Haiou Guan

RPS

9.2

201

10:50-11:10

The Anomalous Data Identification Study of Reactive Power Optimization System Based on Big Data

Wanxing Sheng, keyan Liu, Huanna Niu, Yuzhu Wang, Jingxiang Zhao

RPS

9.3

202

11:10-11:30

Stochastic Generator Availability Modeling on Very Large Transmission Network Systems

Brandon Heath, John Lawhorn

RPS

9.4

227

11:30-11:50

Optimal Coupling of Heat and Electricity Systems: A Stochastic Hierarchical Approach

Lesia Mitridati, Pierre Pinson

 

Session 10

Uncertainties of solar power

Tuesday Oct. 18, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Milorad Papic, Idaho Power, United States

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper  ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

10.1

51

10:30-10:50

Unit Commitment Risk Evaluation of Power Systems with PV and Energy Storage

Wei Jia Tay, Qian Zhao, Ashwin M Khambadkone

RPS

10.2

83

10:50-11:10

A Study on Several Hours Ahead Forecasting of Spatial Average Irradiance using NWP model and Satellite Infrared Image

Takeyoshi Kato, Yusuke Manabe, Toshihisa Funabashi, Keita Yoshiura, Muneaki Kurimoto, Yasuo Suzuoki

RPS

10.3

84

11:10-11:30

Modeling Impacts of PM 2.5 Concentration on PV Power Outputs

Chi Zhang, Wenyuan Li, Juan Yu, Ruilin Xu

RPS

10.4

85

11:30-11:50

A Hybrid Probabilistic Assessment Using Different Renewable Penetration Scenarios in the North American Bulk Power System

Noha Abdel-Karim, David Calderon, Thomas Coleman, John Moura

 

Session 11

Equipment and system failures(1)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Zhaohong Bie, XI'AN JIAOTONG University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

11.1

21

10:30-10:50

A Performance and Maintenance Evaluation Framework for Wind Turbines

Peyman Mazidi, Mian Du, Lina Bertling Tjernberg, Miguel A. Sanz Bobi

RPS

11.2

38

10:50-11:10

Improved Analytic Model to Detect Hidden Failure of Protection Relays

Yuan Tian, Yan Hu, Jia Liu

RPS

11.3

181

11:10-11:30

Failure Rate Estimation of Power Transformers Using Inspection Data

Ehsan Abbasi, Om P. Malik

RPS

11.4

260

11:30-11:50

Probabilistic Assessment of PMU Integrity for Planning of Periodic Maintenance and Testing

Tamara Becejac, Payman Dehghanian, Mladen Kezunovic

 

Session 12

Equipment and system failures(2)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Bo Hu, Chongqing University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 4

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

12.1

48

10:30-10:50

Hybrid Entropy Evaluation of Equipment Severity to Voltage Sags

Jun Xiong, Wenliang Liu, Yi Zhang, Yan Lin, Danyue Wu

RPS

12.2

59

10:50-11:10

A Review and Discussion of Failure Rate Heterogeneity in Power System Reliability Assessment

Jan Henning Jürgensen, Lars Nordström, Patrik Hilber

RPS

12.3

253

11:10-11:30

Wind Farm Analysis in terms of Turkish Grid Code

Mustafa Demirol, Ramazan Caglar, Tuğba N. Demirol

RPS

12.4

269

11:30-11:50

Introducing Distributed Learning Approaches in Wind Power Forecasting

Pierre Pinson

 

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 13 - RPS 18

Tuesday October 18, 2016, 14:00-15:40PM

Session 13

Power system planning considering Reliability

Tuesday Oct. 18, 14:00-15:40PM

Chair

Mauro Rosa, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Brazil

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

13.1

19

14:00-14:20

Evaluation of Transmission Network Reinforcements in an Automated Network Planning Process

Helge Pluntke, Marco Weisenstein, Wolfram Wellssow

RPS

13.2

39

14:20-14:40

Transmission Expansion Planning Based on Relaxed N-1 Criteria and Reliability Indices

Armando Leite da Silva, Muriell de Rodrigues e Freire, Fernando Aparecido de Assis, Luiz Antonio da Fonseca Manso

RPS

13.3

74

14:40-15:00

Transmission Network Expansion Planning With Stochastic Multivariate Load and Wind Modeling

Mingyang Sun, Ioannis Konstantelos, Goran Strbac

RPS

13.4

229

15:00-15:20

Discrete Forecast Error Scenarios Methodology for Grid Reliability Assessment in Short-term Planning

Gamze Dogan, Pierre-Etienne Labeau, Jean-Claude Maun, Jonathan Sprooten, Manuel Galvez, Kristof Sleurs

RPS

13.5

263

15:20-15:40

Reliability Evaluation in Power Distribution System Planning Studies

Saeed Heidari, Mahmud Fotuhi-Firuzabad

 

Session 14

Probabilistic analysis in demand side management

Tuesday Oct. 18, 14:00-15:40PM

Chair

Chris Dent, Edinburgh University, United Kingdom

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

14.1

60

14:00-14:20

The Research of Wind Power Accommodation Considering the Prediction Error of Wind Power

Peng Zhang, Chunyan Li, Qian Zhang

RPS

14.2

88

14:20-14:40

Reliability Evaluation of Medium Voltage Distribution Network with Private Electric Vehicle

Guanglin Cai, Yong Lin, Jiajia Huan, Ya Chen, Bo Hu, Bo Li

RPS

14.3

158

14:40-15:00

Time-of-use Pricing in Retail Electricity Market: Step Tariff vs. Usage-based Schemes

Yanglin Zhou, Feng Gao, Song Ci, Yang Yang

RPS

14.4

173

15:00-15:20

Smart Meter Data Taxonomy for Demand Side Management in Smart Grids

Zafar Khan, Dilan Jayaweera, Hasan Gunduz

RPS

14.5

221

15:20-15:40

Probabilistic Assessment of a Distribution Tariff Scheme for Incentivizing Demand Side Management in the Small Energy Usage Sector

Vasiliki Klonari, Aimilios Orfanos, Jacques Lobry, Francois Vallee

 

Session 15

Probabilistic power flow and applications

Tuesday Oct. 18, 14:00-15:40PM

Chair

Haiwang Zhong, Tsinghua University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

15.1

22

14:00-14:20

Probabilistic Load Flow: a Business Park Analysis, Utilizing Real World Meter Data

Alexander Melhorn, Aleksandar Dimitrovski, Andrew Keane

RPS

15.2

82

14:20-14:40

Benefits of Coordinated Control Reserve Activation and Grid Management – a Probabilistic Load Flow Analysis

Marie-Louise Kloubert, Johannes Schwippe, Joachim Bertsch, Simeon Hagspiel, Stefan Lorenzcik, Felix Höffler, Christian Rehtanz

RPS

15.3

185

14:40-15:00

Power System Risk Assessment Method Based on Dynamic Power Flow

Xiaohui Ye, Wuzhi Zhong, Xinli Song, Lin Cheng

RPS

15.4

218

15:00-15:20

Probabilistic Power Flow Considering Variable Bandwidth Kernel Density Estimation for Traction Substation Loads of High-speed Railways

Yiming Li, Yan Sun, Chunhao Lu, Qingqing Liang

RPS

15.5

232

15:20-15:40

Effects of Uncertainties in Frequency Regulations on Probabilistic Power Flow Analysis

Lan Luo, Xia Zhao, Xinyi Li, Wei Yan, Guoping Liu, Ping Zhou, Lili Wen

 

Session 16

Reliability of transmission systems

Tuesday Oct. 18, 14:00-15:40PM

Chair

Ming Ni, NARI Group Corporation, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

16.1

141

14:00-14:20

Composite Generation and Transmission System Reliability Assessment Using Impact Increment-based State Enumeration Method

Kai Hou, Hongjie Jia, Xiaodan Yu, Yawen Li, Chang Xie, Jianfeng Yan

RPS

16.2

154

14:20-14:40

Optimal Selection of High Voltage Transmission Connected to Island Systems

Xiaoxiao Li, Xin Zhang, Yunting Song, Wei Tang, Yinshun Wang, Jingjing Wang, Xiaofei Hu, Cheng Yang

RPS

16.3

182

14:40-15:00

Reliability Evaluation of Transmission System Based on Vulnerability Analysis

Yanbing Jia, Haidan He, Peng Wang, Xiaoqing Han

RPS

16.4

195

15:00-15:20

Reliability Assessment of Multiple-Voltage Regional Transmission and Distribution System Considering Substation Interior Failure

Tewei Xu, Zongxiang Lu, Yichao Huang, Ruanming Huang, Aili Pang

RPS

16.5

252

15:20-15:40

Bulk Power System Reliability Evaluation Considering Optimal Transmission Switching and Dynamic Line Thermal Rating

Ruosong Xiao, Yingmeng Xiang, Lingfeng Wang, Kaigui Xie

 



Session 17

Reliability assessment of smart grids(1)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 14:00-15:40PM

Chair

Joydeep Mitra, Michigan State University, United States

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

17.1

1

14:00-14:20

Framework for System Analyses of Smart Grid Solutions with examples from the Gotland Case

Carl Johan Wallnerström, Lina Bertling Tjernberg, Patrik Hilber, Jan Henning Jürgensen

RPS

17.2

112

14:20-14:40

Reliability Evaluation of Electrical Collector System of Wind Farm Based on Sequential Monte Carlo

Lili Wen, Manli Wang, Ping Zhou, Qian Zhou, Bo Hu, Yinghao Ma, Yun Xia, Ruosong Xiao, Bo Li

RPS

17.3

147

14:40-15:00

A Multi-state Model for the Adequacy Assessment of an Autonomous Microgrid Based on Universal Generating Function

Sheng Xu, Wei Tang, Tao Yan, Yue Wang, Xianliang Zhang

RPS

17.4

159

15:00-15:20

Impact of Car Arrival/Departure Patterns on EV Parking Lot Capacity

Sitki Guner, Aydogan Ozdemir, Gorkem Serbes

RPS

17.5

204

15:20-15:40

Supply Interruptions and Voltage Dips Assessment of Automated Distribution Systems

Manuel Chiumarulo, Sasa Z. Djokic, Roberto Langella, Alfredo Testa, Alfonso Turco

 

Session 18

Reliability evaluation of distribution systems and micro grids

Tuesday Oct. 18, 14:00-15:40PM

Chair

Brandon Heath, MISO, United States

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 4

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

18.1

13

14:00-14:20

Simplified Reliability Evaluation formulae for Overhead Medium Voltage Distribution Networks

Lingyun Wan, Ying Zhang, Tingting Wei, Yixi Liao, Qing Zhou, Lei Xia, Zhuding Wang, Fengying Tang

RPS

18.2

52

14:20-14:40

Wind-solar Micro Grid Reliability Evaluation Based on Sequential Monte Carlo

Zhen Liu, Wenli Liu, Gaocan Su, He-Junk Yang, Gang Hu

RPS

18.3

55

14:40-15:00

Two-stage Stochastic Programming Based Model Predictive Control Strategy for Microgrid Energy Management under Uncertainties

Zhongwen Li, Chuanzhi Zang, Peng Zeng, Haibin Yu, Hepeng Li

RPS

18.4

223

15:00-15:20

A Multistage MILP-Based Model for Integration of Remote Control Switch into Distribution Networks

Milad Izadi, Mohammad Farajollahi, Amir Safdarian, Mahmud Fotuhi-Firuzabad

RPS

18.5

265

15:20-15:40

Developing a Multi-Objective Framework for Planning Studies of Modern Distribution Networks

Seyed Ahmad Haji Seyed Olia, Mohammad Jooshaki, Moein Moeini-Aghtaie, Mahmud Fotuhi-Firuzabad

 

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 19 - RPS 24

Tuesday October 18, 2016, 16:00-17:20PM

Session 19

Reliability assessment of smart grids(2)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 16:00-17:20PM

Chair

George Anders, Lodz University of Technology, Poland

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

19.1

28

16:00-16:20

A Smart Grid Metrics Assessment of Distribution Automation for Reliability Improvement

Han Rui, Wolfram H. Wellssow

RPS

19.2

133

16:20-16:40

Studying the Impacts of Incorporating Energy Storage Devices into an Aggregated Probabilistic Model of a Virtual Power Plant

Arijit Bagchi, Lalit Goel, Peng Wang

RPS

19.3

217

16:40-17:00

Reliability Evaluation of Active Distribution Systems Considering Energy Storage and Real-Time Electricity Pricing

Haodi Li, Lingfeng Wang, Yingmeng Xiang, Jun Tan, Ruosong Xiao, Kaigui Xie, Yun Xia

RPS

19.4

220

17:00-17:20

A New Approach for Frequency Based Short-term Reliability for a Power System

Kofi Afrifa Agyeman, Sekyung Han, Ryota Umezawa

 

Session 20

Reliability techniques for power systems

Tuesday Oct. 18, 16:00-17:20PM

Chair

John N. Jiang, The University of Oklahoma, United States

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

20.1

15

16:00-16:20

The Probabilistic Approach to Determine the Reliability of Synchrophasor-based Damping Controllers

Anupama Konara, Udaya Annakkage, Bagen Bagen

RPS

20.2

61

16:20-16:40

Research on Reliability Evaluation Method of Catenary of High Speed Railway Considering Weather Condition

Zhen Wang, Ding Feng, Sheng Lin, Zhengyou He

RPS

20.3

174

16:40-17:00

A Three-stage CE-IS Monte Carlo Algorithm for Highly Reliable Composite System Reliability Evaluation Based on Screening Method

Chao Yan, Giambattista Luca Lucarelli, Zhaohong Bie, Ding Tao, Gengfeng Li

RPS

20.4

226

17:00-17:20

Uncertainty Quantification in Power System Reliability Using a Bayesian Framework

Meng Xu, Chris J Dent, Amy Wilson

 

Session 21

Risk and reliability of power systems

Tuesday Oct. 18, 16:00-17:20PM

Chair

Fei Ni, Eindhoven University of Technology, Netherlands

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

21.1

120

16:00-16:20

Reliability Evaluation of the Grid-connected Micro-grid Considering Demand Response

Ping Zhou, Ziyuan Chen, Hongqin Yang, Lili Wen, Yin Liu, Bo Hu, Yinghao Ma, Yun Xia, Ruosong Xiao, Bo Li

RPS

21.2

180

16:20-16:40

Fatigue Reliability Analysis of Wind Turbines Shafts Caused by Sub-Synchronous Oscillations During Power System Fault

Kuanyin Tian, Peng Wang, Wenping Qin, Xiaoqing Han, Yanbing Jia, Chen Liang

RPS

21.3

233

16:40-17:00

Impacts of Transient Instability on Power System Reliability

Mohammed Benidris, Joydeep Mitra, Chanan Singh

RPS

21.4

242

17:00-17:20

Relation Formulation between Daily and Hourly Load Curve Based Loss of Load Expectation Indices

Yeonchan Lee, Duy-Phuong N. Do, Ungjin Oh, Jaeseok Choi, Junmin Cha, Hongseok Choi, Dong-hoon Jeon

 

Session 22

Risk assessment and warning

Tuesday Oct. 18, 16:00-17:20PM

Chair

Amir Safdarian, Sharif University of Technology, Iran

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

22.1

134

16:00-16:20

Risk Measurement and Forewarning of Power Blackouts Based on Entropy Theory

Na Cao, Shuangshuang Cao, Qun Yu, Qing He

RPS

22.2

167

16:20-16:40

Power Network Accidents Risk Assessment Based on Topology Structure

Yunting Song, Wenfei Liu, Gaoqiang Qu, Xin Zhang, Yinshun Wang, Zongchuan Zhou, Xiaojing Dong, Lijun Zhao, Ai Wang

RPS

22.3

235

16:40-17:00

Evaluation of Long-term Stability Considering Secondary Contingency Scenarios

Duy-Phuong N. Do, Ungjin Oh, Yeonchan Lee, Jaeseok Choi, Trung-Tinh Tran

RPS

22.4

142

17:00-17:20

Research on Online Monitoring and State Diagnosis of Battery for Distribution Automation

Zhichu YANG, Yu SHEN, Fan YANG, Zilin WAN, Jun ZHANG, Dongxu WANG, Wei CAI

 

Session 23

Risk management and decision-making(1)

Tuesday Oct. 18, 16:00-17:20PM

Chair

Ramazan Caglar, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

23.1

79

16:00-16:20

Near Real-life Pilot Testing of Real-time Probabilistic Reliability Assessments

Samuel Perkin, Ragnar Kristjansson, Hlynur Stefansson, Gudjon Bjornsson, Iris Baldursdottir, Magni Palsson, Efthymios Karangelos, Louis Wehenkel, Pall Jensson

RPS

23.2

168

16:20-16:40

Day-ahead Generation Schedule Model with Demand Response Considering the Secure and Economic Risks of Wind Power

Jian Wang, Zongxiang Lu, Ying Qiao, Guiping Zhu

RPS

23.3

177

16:40-17:00

Application of Time-Limited Ratings to Underground Cables to Enable Life Extension of Network Assets

David Clements, Pierluigi Mancarella, Richard Ash

RPS

23.4

176

17:00-17:20

Setting the Maximum Import Net Transfer Capacity under Extreme RES Integration Scenarios

Manuel Matos, Ricardo Bessa, Carla Gonçalves, Laura Cavalcante, Nélio Machado, Paulo Marques, Fernando Matos, Vladimiro Miranda

 

Session 24

Load forecasting

Tuesday Oct. 18, 16:00-17:20PM

Chair

Weilin Li, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 4

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

24.1

184

16:00-16:20

Evaluating the Spatial Correlations of Multi-Area Load Forecasting Errors

Jiangnan Cheng, Ning Zhang, Yi Wang, Chongqing Kang, Yuekai Tan, Zhijian Zeng, Min Luo

RPS

24.2

216

16:20-16:40

An Optimum Regression Approach for Analyzing Weather Influence on the Energy Consumption

Qi Zeng, Ning Zhang, Yi Wang, Yuxiao Liu, Chongqing Kang, Zhijian Zeng, Wei Yang, Min Luo

RPS

24.3

222

16:40-17:00

Volatility in Electrical Load Forecasting for Long-term Horizon – An ARIMA-GARCH Approach

Swasti R. Khuntia, Jose L. Rueda Torres, Mart A.M.M van der Meijden

RPS

24.4

262

17:00-17:20

Probabilistic Modeling of Nodal Electric Vehicle Load due to Fast Charging Stations

Difei Tang, Peng Wang, Qiuwei Wu

 

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 25 - RPS 30

Wednesday October 19, 2016, 08:30-10:10AM

Session 25

Correlations in power systems

Wednesday Oct. 19, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Zongxiang Lu, Tsinghua University, China

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

25.1

44

08:30-08:50

The Analysis of Independence of Wind Speed Based on the Probability of Run-length

Mao Yang, Jian Du

RPS

25.2

50

08:50-09:10

Estimation of the Probability Density Function of Renewable Power Production using a Hybrid Method of Minimum Frequency and Maximum Entropy

Dan Li, Wei Yan, Wenyuan Li,

Tao Chen

RPS

25.3

161

09:10-09:30

Impact of Spatio-Temporally Correlated Wind Generation on the Interdependent Operations of Gas and Electric Networks

Max Csef, Andrea Antenucci, Giovanni Sansavini

RPS

25.4

171

09:30-09:50

Probabilistic Static Voltage Stability Analysis Considering the Correlation of Wind Power

Han Wang, Xiaoyuan Xu, Zheng Yan, Zenghui Yang, Nan Feng, Yong Cui

RPS

25.5

277

09:50-10:10

A Two-stage Wind Speed Model for Multiple Wind Farms Considering Autocorrelations and Cross-correlations

Kaigui Xie, Shuwei Miao, Yun Xia, Yinghao Ma, Yanlin Li

 

Session 26

Uncertainties and correlations of wind power(1)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 08:30-09:50AM

Chair

Qixin Chen, Tsinghua University, China

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

26.1

211

08:30-08:50

Application of Non-Intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion in Probabilistic Power Flow with Truncated Random Variables

Fei Ni, Phuong Nguyen, Sjef Cobben, Junjie Tang

RPS

26.2

228

08:50-09:10

User Friendly Generator Maintenance Scheduling Simulation System based on Probabilistic Methodology

Yeonchan Lee, Jaeseok Choi, Myeunghoon Jung

RPS

26.3

241

09:10-09:30

Effects of Risk Aversion on Market Outcomes: A Stochastic Two-Stage Equilibrium Model

S. Jalal Kazempour, Pierre Pinson

RPS

26.4

244

09:30-09:50

Multi-objective Optimal Control Research For WTGS

Jun Liu, Guangyi Wang, Mingyue Qi

 

Session 27

Uncertainties and correlations of wind power(2)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Lalit Goel, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

27.1

54

08:30-08:50

Probability Interval Optimization for Optimal Power Flow Considering Wind Power Integration

J. J. Chen, Q. H. Wu

RPS

27.2

65

08:50-09:10

Modeling Wind Power Uncertainty in the Long-Term Operational Reserve Adequacy Assessment: a Comparative Analysis between the Naïve and the ARIMA Forecasting Models

Leonel Carvalho, João Teixeira, Manuel Matos

RPS

27.3

165

09:10-09:30

Cumulant-based Probabilistic Load Flow Analysis

of Wind Power and Electric Vehicles

Pouya Amid, Curran Crawford

RPS

27.4

178

09:30-09:50

Research on the Periodicity of Wind Power Based on the Maximum Entropy Spectrum Estimation

Haixiang Xu, Linlin Wu, Hui Liu, Ruoyang Wang, Zhengpai Cui

RPS

27.5

196

09:50-10:10

Forecast Uncertainty Modeling and Data Management for a Cutting-edge Security Assessment Platform

Emanuele Ciapessoni, Diego Cirio, Andrea Pitto, Nicolas Omont

 

Session 28

Uncertainties in power systems(1)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Wijarn Wangdee, King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok, Thailand

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

28.1

68

08:30-08:50

Probabilistic Analysis for Low Voltage Ride Through Data of Doubly Fed Induction Generators in China

Can Chen, Pengfei Cao, Chen Shen, Linlin Wu, Chanan Singh

RPS

28.2

136

08:50-09:10

Optimal Configuration of User Side Integrated Energy System Based on Chance Constrained Programming

Chen Jia, Muke Bai, Chao Zhang, Jing Zhou, Gongbo Liu, Sheng Xu, Wei Tang, Cong Wu, Chenjun Sun

RPS

28.3

148

09:10-09:30

Modeling of Operational Availability of offshore Wind Turbines

Lingling Huang, Jialin Cao, Yang Fu

RPS

28.4

157

09:30-09:50

Optimal Power Flow with Worst-case Scenario Considering Uncertainties of Loads and Renewables

Chengquan Ju, Peng Wang

RPS

28.5

163

09:50-10:10

Probabilistic Analysis of the Effect of Wind Speed Variations on Power Quality of Power Systems

Mayssam Amiri, Bagen Bagen, Aniruddha M. Gole

 

Session 29

Uncertainties of wind power(1)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Aydogan Ozdemir, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

29.1

18

08:30-08:50

Optimal Scheduling of Primary Reserve in the System with High Penetration of Wind

Fei Teng, Goran Strbac

RPS

29.2

203

08:50-09:10

Wind Power Curtailment Evaluation Based on EOF and Hierarchical Clustering Method

Youjia Wang, Zongxiang Lu, Ying Qiao, Zhengpai Cui, Rongfu Sun

RPS

29.3

213

09:10-09:30

Impact of Wind and Solar Variability on the Resource Adequacy for North American Bulk Power System

Noha Abdel-Karim, Mark Lauby, David Calderon, John Moura, Thomas Coleman

RPS

29.4

240

09:30-09:50

Impact of High Wind Penetration on Variability of Unserved Energy in Power System Adequacy

Sarah Sheehy, Gruffudd Edwards, Behzad Kazemtabrizi, Chris Dent, Matthias Troffaes, Simon Tindemans

RPS

29.5

251

09:50-10:10

A Unified Analysis of the Impacts of Stochasticity and Low Inertia of Wind Generation

Nga Nguyen, Mohammed Benidris, Joydeep Mitra

 

Session 30

Uncertainties of wind power(2)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 08:30-10:10AM

Chair

Juan Yu, Chongqing University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 4

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

30.1

32

08:30-08:50

Resource Strength and Location Impact of Wind Power on Bulk Electric System Reliability

Rajesh Karki, Sabbir Arman, Roy Billinton

RPS

30.2

128

08:50-09:10

The Reactive Power Optimization of Distribution Network based on Wind Power Output Scenario and Complete-bus Load

Qianjin Gui, Xiangqian Huang, Dabo Zhang, Hejun Yang, Yigang He, Dequan Kong

RPS

30.3

138

09:10-09:30

Probabilistic Short-circuit Analysis of Wind Power System Based on Sampling with Optimal Density Function

Shenghu Li, Zhuang Qian, Xiaoyan Zhang

RPS

30.4

200

09:30-09:50

A Heuristic for the Synthesis of Credible Operating States in the Presence of Renewable Energy Sources

Edgar Nuño, Nicolaos Cutululis

RPS

30.5

225

09:50-10:10

Capacity Credit and Reasonable ESS Evaluation of Power System including WTGs combined with BESS

Ungjin Oh, Jaeseok Choi, Hag-hyeon Kim

 

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 31 - RPS 36

Wednesday October 19, 2016, 10:30-11:50AM

Session 31

Outage data, events and analysis(1)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Chen Shen, Tsinghua University, China

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

31.1

33

10:30-10:50

Transmission Availability Data System (TADS) Reporting and Data Analysis

Milorad Papic, Michael Clemons, Svetlana Ekisheva, Jake Langthorn, Trinh Ly, Michael Pakeltis, Richard Quest, Jeff Schaller, David Till, Kurt Weisman

RPS

31.2

72

10:50-11:10

Spatial and Temporal Clustering of Fault Events on the GB Transmission Network

Euan Morris, Keith Bell, Ian Elders

RPS

31.3

115

11:10-11:30

Wind Dependent Failure Rates for Overhead Transmission Lines Using Reanalysis Data and a Bayesian Updating Scheme

Øystein Rognes Solheim, Gerd Kjølle, Thomas Trötscher

RPS

31.4

261

11:30-11:50

Urban Distribution Grid Line Outage Identification

Yizheng Liao, Yang Weng, Chin-Woo Tan, Ram Rajagopal

 

Session 32

Outage data, events and analysis(2)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Yingzhong(Gary) Gu, General Electric, United States

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

32.1

17

10:30-10:50

Investigation of Equivalence between the Interstate Transition Rates and State Probabilities in the Data Analysis and Applications

Chanan Singh, Shijia Zhao

RPS

32.2

76

10:50-11:10

Synchrophasor Data Availability Analyzer

Phanuwat Phunkasem, Wijarn Wangdee, Bo Sriraphanth, Bundit Tanboonjit

RPS

32.3

108

11:10-11:30

Substation Reliability Evaluation with Dependent Outages Using Bayesian Networks

Lukasz Wojdowski, George Anders

RPS

32.4

249

11:30-11:50

Analysing Correlated Events in Power System Using Fault Statistics

Sajeesh Babu, Ebrahim Shayesteh, Patrik Hilber

 

Session 33

Reliability-centered asset management

Wednesday Oct. 19, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Ning Zhang, Tsinghua University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

33.1

131

10:30-10:50

A Spare Strategy of Circuit Breakers Considering Aging Failures

Fachi Chen, Yi Dai, Zhouyang Ren, Wenyuan Li

RPS

33.2

146

10:50-11:10

The Use of Markov Chain Method to Determine Spare Transformer Number with 3-Criteria Parameters

Musa Marbun, Ngapuli Sinisuka, Nanang Hariyanto

RPS

33.3

162

11:10-11:30

The Use of Markov Chain Method to Determine Spare Transformer Location

Musa Marbun, Ngapuli Sinisuka, Nanang Hariyanto

RPS

33.4

169

11:30-11:50

Multi-criteria Optimization of Maintenance and Replacement Strategies in Transmission Systems

Alexander Rhein, Gerd Balzer, Raoul Boya, Christoph Eichler

 

Session 34

Reliability-centered maintenance

Wednesday Oct. 19, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Andrea Pitto, Ricerca sul Sistema Energetico - RSE SPA, Italy

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

34.1

27

10:30-10:50

Improving the Efficiency of Maintenance and Repair of Electrical Network Equipment

Elena Rychagova, Vladimir Levin

RPS

34.2

87

10:50-11:10

Determination of Optimal Component Maintenance Process for RCAM of Power Transmission System Using TOPSIS Method

H.Aysun Koksal, Aydogan Ozdemir

RPS

34.3

205

11:10-11:30

Reliability-Centered Asset Management Using Component Reliability Importance

Ebrahim Shayesteh, Patrik Hilber

RPS

34.4

246

11:30-11:50

Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems Incorporating Maintenance Policy with Partial Information

Youping Fan, Dai Zhang

 

Session 35

Risk management and decision-making(2)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 10:30-11:50AM

Chair

Zhouyang Ren, Chongqing University, China

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

35.1

86

10:30-10:50

A Stochastic Production Simulation Model for Renewable Integration and System Flexibility Studies

Shucheng Liu, Wenxiong Huang, Yi Zhang

RPS

35.2

209

10:50-11:10

Overvoltage Risk Analysis in Distribution Networks with High Penetration of PVs

Saeed Alyami, Yang Wang, Caisheng Wang

RPS

35.3

219

11:10-11:30

A Comparative View of Risk Management in Financial Sector and in Next Generation Power Grid Operation

John Jiang, Chongqing Kang

RPS

35.4

231

11:30-11:50

Zonal Operating Reserve Demand Curve Applied to Day-ahead Deterministic Unit Commitment

Meng Xu, Chris J Dent, Amy Wilson

 

Session 36

State monitoring and application

Wednesday Oct. 19, 10:30-11:30AM

Chair

Noha Abdel-Karim, North American Electric Reliability Corporation, United States

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 4

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

36.1

151

10:30-10:50

Condition Monitoring and Reliability Analysis of Power Systems for Underground Cavern Facilities

Zhongqiang Ding, Yuxiang Zhang, Tao Wang, Qianggang Wang, Zhen Lu, King Jet Tseng, Peng Wang

RPS

36.2

152

10:50-11:10

Condition Monitoring and Reliability Analysis of Underground Transformers

Qianggang Wang, Tao Wang, Yuxiang Zhang, Zhen Lu, Zhongqiang Ding, King Jet Tseng, Peng Wang

RPS

36.3

170

11:10-11:30

Power Line Online Fault Warning Method Based on Operational Reliability and Decision Tree

Tao Cheng, Lei Chen, Fei Xu, Yuanhang Dai

 

Regular Paper Sessions: RPS 37 - RPS 41

Wednesday October 19, 2016, 14:00-15:40PM

Session 37

wind power Forecasting(1)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 14:00-15:20PM

Chair

Mahmud Fotuhi-Firuzabad, Sharif University of Technology, Iran

Building 8 Meeting Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

37.1

42

14:00-14:20

Wind Power Forecast Based on Cloud Model

Mao Yang, Qiongqiong Yang

RPS

37.2

132

14:20-14:40

The Advanced Evaluation Method of Regional Wind Power Prediction

Yu Liu, Kai Bai, Qi Yao, Yang Cui

RPS

37.3

187

14:40-15:00

Probabilistic Short-term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Deep Neural Networks

Wenzu Wu, Kunjin Chen, Ying Qiao, Zongxiang Lu

RPS

37.4

188

15:00-15:20

Wind Power Correction Method Including Multiple Factors Such as Wind-Abandon Coefficient

Xiaogang Wu, Zongxiang Lu, Ying Qiao, Rongfu Sun, Ruoyang Wang

 

Session 38

wind power Forecasting(2)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 14:00-15:20PM

Chair

Junjie Tang, Chongqing University, China

Building 8 Meeting Room 3

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

38.1

30

14:00-14:20

Data Completing of Missing Wind Power Data Based on Adaptive BP Neural Network

Mao Yang, Jian Ma

RPS

38.2

37

14:20-14:40

Uncertainty Analysis of Wind Power Prediction Based on Granular Computing

Mao Yang, Chunlin Yang

RPS

38.3

57

14:40-15:00

Short-term Wind Speed Forecasting Method Based on Wavelet Packet Decomposition and Improved Elman Neural Network

Ruili Ye, Zhizhong Guo, Ruiye Liu, Jiannan Liu

RPS

38.4

69

15:00-15:20

A Review of Wind Power Forecasting & Prediction

Mao Yang, Shaoshuai Wang

 

Session 39

Uncertainties in power systems(2)

Wednesday Oct. 19, 14:00-15:20PM

Chair

Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, United States

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 1

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

39.1

197

14:00-14:20

Net Transfer Capacity Assessment Using Point Estimate Method for Probabilistic Power Flow

Matteo Saviozzi, Francesco Adinolfi, Stefano Massucco, Federico Silvestro, Emanuele Ciapessoni, Diego Cirio, Andrea Pitto

RPS

39.2

243

14:20-14:40

Optimal Feeder Reconfiguration and Distributed Generation Placement for Reliability Improvement

Yuting Tian, Mohammed Benidris, Samer Sulaeman, Salem Elsaiah, Joydeep Mitra

RPS

39.3

247

14:40-15:00

Provision of Rotating Reserves From Wind Power in a Hydro-dominated Power System

Martin N. Hjelmeland, Camilla T. Larsen, Magnus Korpås, Arild Helseth

RPS

39.4

266

15:00-15:20

An Analytical Framework for Operational Reliability Studies of Highly Wind Integrated Power Systems

Zohreh Parvini, Ali Abbaspour, Mahmud Fotuhi-Firuzabad, Moein Moeini-Aghtaie

 

Session 40

Applications of probabilistic methods

Wednesday Oct. 19, 14:00-15:20PM

Chair

Rajesh Karki, University of Saskatchewan, Canada

Friendship Palace

Conference Room 2

Session

Paper ID

Time

Title

Author(s)

RPS

40.1

122

14:00-14:20

Probabilistic Estimation of the Voltage Total Harmonic Distortion in Secondary Distribution Networks

Elson Silva, Anselmo Rodrigues, Maria da Guia da Silva

RPS

40.2

129

14:20-14:40

Research on Probabilistic Reactive Power Optimization Considering the Randomness of Distribution Network

Keyan